Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000192 0.000215 0.000239 0.000267 0.000298 0.000331 0.000370
2025-02-16 0.000158 0.000188 0.000223 0.000265 0.000315 0.000373 0.000445
2025-02-23 0.000133 0.000167 0.000208 0.000262 0.000329 0.000410 0.000517
2025-03-02 0.000113 0.000149 0.000194 0.000256 0.000337 0.000441 0.000584
2025-03-09 0.000098 0.000135 0.000184 0.000254 0.000349 0.000476 0.000660
2025-03-16 0.000087 0.000125 0.000177 0.000253 0.000363 0.000514 0.000741
2025-03-23 0.000079 0.000117 0.000171 0.000254 0.000377 0.000554 0.000828
2025-03-30 0.000071 0.000109 0.000165 0.000252 0.000387 0.000587 0.000909
2025-04-06 0.000065 0.000103 0.000161 0.000254 0.000402 0.000629 0.001004
2025-04-13 0.000060 0.000098 0.000156 0.000254 0.000415 0.000668 0.001099
2025-04-20 0.000054 0.000091 0.000150 0.000251 0.000421 0.000696 0.001179
2025-04-27 0.000052 0.000090 0.000151 0.000259 0.000446 0.000758 0.001318
2025-05-04 0.000048 0.000086 0.000149 0.000262 0.000464 0.000810 0.001449
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000082 0.000146 0.000265 0.000481 0.000862 0.001586
2025-05-18 0.000042 0.000078 0.000142 0.000264 0.000492 0.000904 0.001709
2025-05-25 0.000038 0.000073 0.000136 0.000259 0.000496 0.000933 0.001811
2025-06-01 0.000035 0.000069 0.000132 0.000258 0.000505 0.000974 0.001938
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000066 0.000129 0.000258 0.000517 0.001021 0.002081
2025-06-15 0.000031 0.000063 0.000127 0.000259 0.000532 0.001072 0.002238
2025-06-22 0.000029 0.000060 0.000123 0.000257 0.000540 0.001113 0.002376
2025-06-29 0.000027 0.000058 0.000121 0.000259 0.000555 0.001169 0.002553
2025-07-06 0.000026 0.000056 0.000119 0.000260 0.000569 0.001222 0.002726
2025-07-13 0.000024 0.000053 0.000115 0.000256 0.000573 0.001255 0.002860